In Ghana’s 2024 electioneering campaign, three personalities stood out for their widely read election opinion polls. Apexnewsgh reports
Ben Ephson of the Daily Dispatch News Paper, Mussa Dankwah of Global InfoAnalytics, and Prof. Smart Sarpong of Research and Innovation at Kumasi Technical University were taken seriously by various political parties for their strong opinions on the delivery of NPP and NDC candidates.
However, in the shadows, Hon. Awineyesema Abiire, Assemblyman for Zorko-Gambrongo and Lecturer at the Bolgatanga Technical University, conducted the “Zorkor Politico Polls” which surprisingly proved to be more accurate with his 2024 election polls than the celebrated Mussa Dankwah’s polls. Unfortunately, Abiire’s work went unnoticed, leaving many to wonder what could have been if his predictions had received the same attention as the others.
Mussa Dankwah, Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, made a bold prediction about the 2024 general elections in Ghana. According to Dankwah, former President John Dramani Mahama was poised to win the presidential election outright, without the need for a runoff. Dankwah also predicts that the National Democratic Congress (NDC) will secure a parliamentary majority.
However, not everyone agrees with Dankwah’s forecast. Prof. Smart Sarpong, Director of Research and Innovation at Kumasi Technical University, also conducted a poll that suggests the New Patriotic Party (NPP) will retain its parliamentary majority. Prof. Sarpong’s poll further indicates that NPP presidential candidate Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia will lead the polls with 49.1% of the votes, compared to Mahama’s 45.8%.
Interestingly, Ben Ephson’s 2024 opinion polls also pointed out that, the New Patriotic Party (NPP) Presidential Candidate Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia will lead with 51.2% with Mahama securing 47.1%
Dankwah’s own survey paints a different picture, showing Mahama ahead with 51.9% of voter support, while Dr. Bawumia follows with 40.5%. The conflicting forecasts highlight the differing interpretations of the political landscape ahead of the 2024 elections.
But then, Dankwah also confidently stated, “No runoff, stressing Mahama wins the first round and NDC will have a majority in parliament.
Interestingly, Mussa Dankwah has received widespread acclaim, particularly from the governing National Democratic Congress (NDC).
However, the Chairperson of the Electoral Commissioner (EC), Mrs Jean Mensa, said Mr. Mahama won by securing 6,328,397 votes, representing 56.55 per cent, while Dr. Bawumia polled 4,657,304, representing 41.61 per cent.
Unfortunately, one personality who is yet to catch the media attention following his extraordinary opinions regarding election forecast is Hon. Awineyesema Abiire, a lecturer at Bolgatanga Technical University (BTU), who conducted the 2024 election polls, which surprisingly aligned closely with the Electoral Commission’s declared 2024 election results. Abiire’s polls predicted that Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, the NPP presidential candidate, would secure 41% of the total votes, while John Dramani Mahama, the NDC presidential candidate, would garner 54%.
Despite Abiire’s impressive forecasting, Mussa Dankwah remained in the spotlight, overshadowing Abiire’s achievements. This raises questions about the factors influencing public perception and recognition in Ghana’s political landscape.
Excepts of Hon. Abiire’s 2024 election analysis.
Please Note: “In Contrast, the NDC’S maximum 54% score could only go to 56% not 50 as wrongly typed. If the NPP settles on its minimum score of 41%. Apart from that, the average score of 52% for the NDC and maximum of 54% cannot be altered”.
The difference between Mussa Dankwah, Ben Ephson, Prof. Sarpong, and Hon. Awineyesema Abiire has to do with their “location” and “media access”. The above-mentioned personalities are all residing in the country’s national capital where they have all the national media platforms whiles, Hon. Awineyesema Abiire is residing in one of the villages in the Upper East Region. However, his polls stand more accurate ahead of his colleagues in Accra.
Hon. Awineyesema Abiire is a treasure trove of knowledge and experience, offering a massive opportunity for the media to tap into his expertise. With a wealth of experience in education, he can share valuable insights with the people of Ghana and beyond.
As a lecturer at the Bolgatanga Technical University and a researcher with publications in reputable journals, Abiire’s expertise spans various fields, including tax education, revenue mobilization, and financial reporting. His research has focused on topics such as tax compliance in Ghana, revenue mobilization at the local government level, and the impact of computerized accounting systems on financial reports.
By reaching out to Hon. Awineyesema Abiire on +233241139933, media outlets can leverage his expertise to educate and inform the public on critical issues affecting Ghana and the world.
Source: Apexnewsgh.com
